Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.740167 3.988303 4.255489 4.566564 4.921384 5.316712 5.795129
2025-02-16 3.298706 3.618638 3.982095 4.431847 4.982779 5.649060 6.538450
2025-02-23 2.971965 3.330347 3.754596 4.305991 5.023682 5.958686 7.333289
2025-03-02 2.675508 3.044023 3.493502 4.099679 4.927249 6.074226 7.912930
2025-03-09 2.480907 2.862195 3.340358 4.008465 4.964990 6.379499 8.879856
2025-03-16 2.288545 2.666207 3.149267 3.841863 4.869607 6.469217 9.541157
2025-03-23 2.182930 2.572504 3.082604 3.837255 5.008516 6.958245 11.171277
2025-03-30 2.078008 2.471251 2.995917 3.792353 5.076476 7.346154 12.850322
2025-04-06 1.973765 2.363584 2.891229 3.708456 5.067028 7.592038 14.396864
2025-04-13 1.866560 2.245503 2.763387 3.576494 4.957105 7.616920 15.391491
2025-04-20 1.820894 2.208948 2.748710 3.617911 5.154434 8.333535 19.443702
2025-04-27 1.782593 2.179918 2.742096 3.670377 5.380276 9.202052 25.962526
2025-05-04 1.735912 2.141805 2.727189 3.721893 5.645627 10.387223 40.306526
2025-05-11 1.685446 2.095773 2.697613 3.747053 5.871292 11.650598 73.291853
2025-05-18 1.631085 2.041207 2.651228 3.738456 6.028716 12.867760 186.165418
2025-05-25 1.560883 1.959853 2.557635 3.635445 5.955422 13.263151 573.830372
2025-06-01 1.510785 1.906061 2.504612 3.602262 6.042569 14.405805 NaN
2025-06-08 1.449057 1.832082 2.414827 3.491691 5.921585 14.594837 NaN
2025-06-15 1.416528 1.800694 2.392283 3.507310 6.123868 16.592341 NaN
2025-06-22 1.378868 1.759706 2.351343 3.482817 6.217896 18.236153 NaN
2025-06-29 1.336946 1.710440 2.293911 3.420230 6.196102 19.215779 NaN
2025-07-06 1.289584 1.651127 2.216920 3.312334 6.028748 19.046637 NaN
2025-07-13 1.271044 1.635724 2.213058 3.352950 6.300571 22.822359 NaN